The pecuniary pinch put mergers on ice, but there are signs the deals are starting another time. This time corporate buyers are calling the shots
by Ben Steverman
Even as credit markets and the economy remain rocky, Wall Street’s dealmakers are slowly getting busier. It’s hardly the mergers-and-acquisitions fever of a year ago, but M&A spryness is still giving a lift to stocks.
On May 15, CBS (CBS) said it would buy CNET Networks (CNET) for $1.8 billion, agreeing to pay 45% greater than CNET shares’ preceding closing price. Financier Carl Icahn is trying to force Yahoo! (YHOO) to accept Microsoft’s (MSFT) rejected $47.5 billion buyout offer. And Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) announced steady May 13 it would buy Electronic Data Systems (EDS) for $13.9 billion (BusinessWeek, 5/15/08).
So far this year, the gross amount excellence of announced M&A deals is $430.4 billion in the U.S. and $1.9 trillion globally, according to Dealogic. That’s down 39% in the U.S. and 34% worldwide from this time a year ago.
The Roughest Patch Is OverBankers and experts said the shrinking of available believe has acted as a brake on the M&A market. The belief crisis began last summer, only it really started to slow dealmaking in the fall. The M&A market hit its roughest patch in February and March, when investment bank Bear Stearns (BSC) collapsed.
Since then, worries desire eased a bit. The value of M&A deals in April exceeded the antecedent brace months combined, and halfway through the month, May’s total already exceeds wholly dealmaking in March, Dealogic says.
"Now that things have settled down, people are getting out there once more," says Scott Willis, a lawyer specializing in M&A at the regulation firm Fishman Haygood Phelps Walmsley Willis & Swanson.
But not every potential buyer is out shopping.
During M&A’s exultation hold out summer, the stock market would many times get a boost each Monday, at the time that private equity firms typically unveiled billion-dollar buyout deals cooked up over the weekend. Often these deals priced their mark companies’ shares at huge premiums.
Private reasonableness firms used leveraged buyouts, or LBOs—relying on a large amount of debt—to buy up these public companies and take them private. After the credit market disruptions began last year, many people big deals fell apart as banks refused to lend out money.
$400 Billion to SpendThose LBO buyers remain quiet, even while they sit on lots of capital. Goldman Sachs (GS) estimates private equity firms have about $400 billion in dry sprinkle to disburse on potential buyouts.
But Tom Lister, co-managing partner of Permira, a private uprightness not soft that’s popularly managing $17 billion in investing. funds, says it’s unrealistic to expect the loan market for LBOs to bounce back soon: "The wheels of liquidity did grind to a stand, and it will take time for the credit markets to agree by themselves out."
So who’s doing the dealmaking if not private impartiality? Corporate buyers—viewed like the Microsoft, CBS, and Hewlett-Packard offers demonstrate—have much of the M&A field to themselves.
"Although credit markets have improved, risk tolerance is low" for lenders, says Howard Lanser, head of new business development at banking secure R.W. Baird. Lenders are funding deals only if buyers are healthy companies with strong balance sheets, he says. Deals also include tighter lending terms, requiring more collateral, says Willis, of Fishman Haygood’s. Also, because many deals "aren’t getting in addition the elaborate line," parties aren’t agreeing to hefty termination fees if a deal fails.
Hungry In Spite the Snags"Deals take longer to get carried on, but they are getting conferred," Willis says. Corporate conduct still is hungry to make deals in spite of the difficulties.
Companies are eager to make offers while there is less competition from private equity buyers, Lanser says. Buyers too be missed to use acquisitions to standing their firms for when the economy recovers, he says. Sellers are receptive to offers at a time when stock prices are down and a tough arrangement makes it harder to compete. "It makes sense for both parties," he says.
Willis, based in New Orleans, handles a hazard of deals in the booming energy industry. He says many oil and elastic fluid firms want to get much bigger to handle the skyrocketing costs of oil and gas exploration and drilling. "Even though you’re workmanship $120 a barrel [in succession oil], your cost of producing the oil is going up," Willis says.
Much depends on whether banks and other lenders can shake off the 10-month-old financial decisive turn. If the put faith in crunch continues to ease, more and more deals will get done. Stock prices will be buoyed by M&A speculation, and private fair play buyers might on a level find ways to get financing. But if lenders get spooked again, even of a sound constitution companies with strong balance sheets may find it diligently to complete deals. And that could put a touchy end to the fledgling M&A revival.
Original text: http://www.businessweek.com/investor/content/may2008/pi20080515_859749.htm?campaign_id=rss_null
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